Reason For Betting Tips
Palmeiras saw their lead at the top cut to just a single point on Thursday night when they could only draw at home to Cruzeiro but they should be able to get back on track here with a win. The main reason they are in such a strong position while others have fallen away is their away form. Almost the whole league boasts a pretty strong home record but Palmeiras have been strongest on the road, averaging an impressive 1.8 points per game.
This completes a trio of away games against the current bottom three. They’ve safely negotiated their way past America Mineiro and Santa Cruz and having won 5 of their last 6 on the road in Serie A, they should have no reason to fear 3rd bottom Figueirense and with Gabriel Jesus back from Brazil duty, they should win this and they may need to with Flamengo breathing down their backs.
The hosts are looking like a side in real danger of going down. They’ve already dismissed 3 coaches this season but the problem really lies in their playing staff. They have the second worst goalscoring record in the league averaging just 0.90 goals per game and have failed to score in 3 of their 4 matches under latest coach Marquinhos Santos. They’ve been reasonably solid at home for most of the campaign but a 1-0 defeat last time out at home to Botafogo will have just knocked their confidence a bit and they’ve not been that convincing even on home soil of late having started the season unbeaten in 10 at their own stadium
Palmeiras possess more quality all over the pitch in truth and they have very few injury problems that could get in the way here. They have looked the side most likely to clinch the title throughout the season and their excellent away form in particular makes backing Palmeiras to Win at 10/11 look like the value bet here.
Head To Head
The last 6 meetings between these clubs have all been won by the side playing at home. Palmeiras won 4-0 when they met in Sao Paulo earlier in the season.
Palmeiras' most common away scoreline is a 2-0 win (20% of their league fixtures this season). There have been under 2.5 goals in 63% of Figueirense matches this term.
Some rotation is likely given the congested fixture list and Figueirense's struggles. Dodô and Ferrugem are pushing for starts in midfield. Marquinhos Barbosa is fit again and should keep his place in defence.
Yerry Mina is likely to return to the back four here following his involvement with Colombia. Edu Dracena should drop out as a result. Palmeiras have few other selection issues with Fernando Prass the only man unavailable due to injury.